The Today’s Chanakya exit poll has predicted a sweeping victory for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in Assam, suggesting the party is well on its way to forming its third consecutive government in the state.
Key Projections for Assam Assembly
The NDA is expected to dominate both the seat count and the total vote share:
| Alliance | Predicted Seats | Margin of Error | Vote Share % |
| NDA (BJP-AGP-BPF) | 102 | ±9 | 50% |
| Congress Combine | 23 | ±9 | 38% |
Comparative Analysis: Poll of Polls
The prediction from Today’s Chanakya is the most optimistic for the ruling party, though other major pollsters also point toward a comfortable NDA majority:
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Axis My India: Projects 88–100 seats for the NDA and 24–36 for the Congress-led alliance.
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JVC: Predicts 88–101 seats for the NDA.
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Matrize & Kamakhya Analytics: Both align on a range of 85–95 seats for the NDA.
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Poll of Exit Polls (Aggregate): Suggests a likely tally of 92 seats for the NDA and 28 for the Congress block.
Strategic Context
The 2026 battle saw the BJP contesting 90 seats, with its allies AGP (26) and BPF (11) filling the remainder of the 126-member Assembly. On the opposition side, Congress contested 99 seats, supported by Raijor Dal and AJP.
While these projections indicate a “landslide” for the BJP, it is important to note the standard health warning: exit polls are projections based on early data and can often vary from the final results.
The official counting of votes will confirm if the “third successive term” for the BJP becomes a reality.
